No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x436d421Bce4F2D2ebc1437c17aA79589B719BB6d-1774539686722
0x436d421bce4f2d2ebc1437c17aa79589b719bb6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.67
- Realized PnL
- $38.26
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $57.94
- Potential payout
- $467.23
- Potential profit
- $409.29
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- -$92.06
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $9.22
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $65.41
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.3%
- Current value
- $18.51
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $35.54
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $8.51
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.4% 74.63 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 12% 55.55 shares
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?No 76% 13.16 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 84% 12.44 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 61.3% 18.51 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 87% 13.51 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 74.2% 27.96 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 54% 18.52 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 80.4% 12.44 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 74% 13.51 shares