No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
xiaohuli12
0x436db6c0d7be0c21fc3b90a2503ad37bde1f6c1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.99K
- Realized PnL
- $3.11K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $420.38
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$18.19
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $51.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $52.34
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $905.63
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $219.38
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $905.63
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489.13
- Potential profit
- $489.13
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.65
- Potential profit
- $19.65
- User PnL
- -$12.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.82
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.71
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.29
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.56
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 36.57 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 80% 1,125 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 67% 1,194.03 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 1,685.39 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 1,875 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 65% 1,230.77 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 58% 1,379.31 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 1,038.96 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 58% 862.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.2% 1,408.45 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 52.8% 231.18 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 71% 127.72 shares