Polymarket Trader

betterlife974

0x4371cd0f6aaf31150459e8bf229e48a0c48a2e31

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $335.08
Realized PnL: $2.78K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $23.79
Potential payout: $689.66
Potential profit: $665.86
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$176.21

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.62
Potential profit: $550.62
User PnL: -$319.36

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473.59
Potential profit: $473.59
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $194.94
Potential payout: $334.09
Potential profit: $139.15
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.62
Potential profit: $279.62
User PnL: -$95.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $106.27
Potential payout: $125.76
Potential profit: $19.49
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.92

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $70.57
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$43.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.27

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.98

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.29

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.73

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.4% 334.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Down 23% 402.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Up 48% 208.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Down 81% 49.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Down 19% 210.53 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Down 46% 108.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Down 54% 92.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 48% 208.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Up 37% 270.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Down 83% 204.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 13% 76.92 shares