Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $840.42
- Potential payout
- $870
- Potential profit
- $29.58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Polymarket Trader
freakmilk
0x437a73338e20ff2a3c1c63ad366f84b292092948
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $840.42
- Realized PnL
- $16.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $657.89
- Potential profit
- $657.89
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.83
- Potential profit
- $70.83
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$29.5
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $745.72
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.71
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $215.51
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.8
Yes position
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.8
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.66
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $166
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.97
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $89.4
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.89
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.5
Yes position
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.2
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.22
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 63% 4.21 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 224.72 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 62% 322.58 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 76% 263.16 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 76% 657.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 40.26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 218.97 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 72% 298.18 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 6.52 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 80% 62.5 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 8.33 shares