No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $128.55
- Potential payout
- $129.13
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- User PnL
- $20.76
Polymarket Trader
wataxut
0x437b8df29d183fe384601c61a42202fef7a10f0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $316.92
- Realized PnL
- $467.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $102.17
- Potential payout
- $112.89
- Potential profit
- $10.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $74.37
- Potential payout
- $111.84
- Potential profit
- $37.47
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$13.98
No position
Major US official out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.67
- Potential profit
- $71.67
- User PnL
- -$60.2
No position
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $435,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.62
- Potential profit
- $38.62
- User PnL
- -$25.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $11.83
- Potential payout
- $12.79
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.82
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.9
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42
No position
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $18.23
No position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.11
Yes position
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.11
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.43
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.87
No position
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.76
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $13.69
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 97.1% 105.11 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 98.6% 57.37 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 99% 5.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 66% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91.2% 12.26 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 91% 2 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.1% 69.59 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 88% 5 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 8.09 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 97.5% 89.33 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 71.05 shares