Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $538.61
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Polymarket Trader
Jormungandalf
0x438795da8f159379fffa70f2b545256c6823afb3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.88
- Realized PnL
- $120.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $43.6
- Potential profit
- $39.86
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $32.02
- Potential profit
- $26.1
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $24.28
- Potential profit
- $19.18
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $13.37
- Potential profit
- $8.69
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $7.08
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.55
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $9.39
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.83
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.67
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.55
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.55
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 1?Yes 11.5% 43.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 1?No 67% 7.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 1?Yes 37.4% 13.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 1?Yes 20.6% 24.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 1?No 42% 11.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 1?Yes 15.6% 32.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 1?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 1?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 1?No 67% 1.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?No 38% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?No 44% 2.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?Yes 14.7% 6.8 shares