Polymarket Trader

Started-with-20-USD

0x4388640a35b4ecebc33f8c73b58a2b988c615050

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.65K
Realized PnL: $9.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $148.49
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $951.43
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$96.09

No position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $96.31
Potential payout: $912.89
Potential profit: $816.58
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $31.4

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $795.77
Potential payout: $833.27
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $415.08

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $21.44
Potential payout: $809.22
Potential profit: $787.78
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$338.58

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $160.98
Potential payout: $670.74
Potential profit: $509.76
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$303.33

No position

Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $319.58
Potential payout: $632.83
Potential profit: $313.25
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$32.25

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $525.74
Potential payout: $611.32
Potential profit: $85.58
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $282.29

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $580.91
Potential profit: $575.39
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$160.21

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $562.04
Potential payout: $566.57
Potential profit: $4.53
User PnL: $159.77

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $21.82
Potential payout: $552.44
Potential profit: $530.62
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$86.93

No position

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $122.89
Potential payout: $491.56
Potential profit: $368.67
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$9.18

No position

World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $274.01
Potential payout: $489.31
Potential profit: $215.3
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $49.97

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $396.42
Potential payout: $422.85
Potential profit: $26.43
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $184.58

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $186.06
Potential payout: $418.1
Potential profit: $232.05
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $387.6
Potential profit: $385.47
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$56.82

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.55B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 27.9%
Current value: $103.23
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $266.77
Multiplier: 3.58x
User PnL: $91.02

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?

Ends Dec 13, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $166.35
Potential payout: $339.48
Potential profit: $173.14
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $37.68

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $256.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $43.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $105.63
Potential payout: $285.49
Potential profit: $179.86
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $26.16
Potential payout: $257.76
Potential profit: $231.6
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$31.73

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $235.84
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$64.2

No position

Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $152.95
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $77.05
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $21.85

No position

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.9B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $118.47
Potential payout: $225.66
Potential profit: $107.19
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$20.59

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $73
Potential payout: $224.6
Potential profit: $151.61
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $4.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $958.57

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790.12

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.39

Yes position

Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.43

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.29

Yes position

Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.9

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of May 25 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.73

Up position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.09

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.01

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $274.61

No position

Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.67

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.31

Yes position

Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $224.78

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.37

No position

Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.18

Yes position

Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.07

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $200.68

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.92

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.72

Up position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.05

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?

No 45% 102.24 shares
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?

No 77% 151.39 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Yes 32% 67.5 shares
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Yes 78% 165.1 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 6% 100 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Yes 29.9% 157.1 shares
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

No 25.6% 98.9 shares
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?

Yes 62.3% 27.24 shares
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

No 18.8% 151 shares
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Yes 22.3% 194.14 shares
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.4B?

Yes 29.5% 105 shares