whatthedogdoing666

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$69.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $4.37K
User PnL: -$51.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$44.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$22.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$7.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$72.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$25.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$91.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$15.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$32.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$6.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $839.96
Potential profit: $839.96
User PnL: -$24.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.48
Potential profit: $749.48
User PnL: -$8.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.75
Potential profit: $714.75
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.32
Potential profit: $686.32
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.22
Potential profit: $639.22
User PnL: -$67.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.97
Potential profit: $634.97
User PnL: -$13.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.62
Potential profit: $551.62
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $543.29
Potential profit: $543.29
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.37
Potential profit: $495.37
User PnL: -$20.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453.84
Potential profit: $453.84
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429.88
Potential profit: $429.88
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.57
Potential profit: $348.57
User PnL: -$79.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.53
Potential profit: $341.53
User PnL: -$29.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311.36
Potential profit: $311.36
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$20.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $282.11
Potential payout: $282.25
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $35.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.5
Potential profit: $272.5
User PnL: -$66.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.36
Potential profit: $257.36
User PnL: -$10.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.24
Potential profit: $231.24
User PnL: -$25.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.67
Potential profit: $227.67
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $202
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.73
Potential profit: $193.73
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.02
Potential profit: $189.02
User PnL: -$10.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.71
Potential profit: $173.71
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.45
Potential profit: $169.45
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $157.42
Potential payout: $157.5
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $62.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.58
Potential profit: $102.58
User PnL: -$5.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.18
Potential profit: $90.18
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.19
Potential profit: $86.19
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.47
Potential profit: $68.47
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.22
Potential profit: $67.22
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $50.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.76
Potential profit: $37.76
User PnL: -$23.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.7
Potential profit: $37.7
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.03
Potential profit: $26.03
User PnL: -$13.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.2
Potential profit: $25.2
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $13.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?