Polymarket Trader

jessicacropley2000

0x438f6963795d041840768b21b5ed9de72dedf1fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.66
Realized PnL: $160.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $384.84
Potential profit: $384.27
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$12.92

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.46
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.62

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.59
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.56
Potential profit: $74.56
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.41
Potential profit: $74.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.47
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.74
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.45
Potential profit: $27.45
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.56
Potential profit: $26.56
User PnL: -$2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.17
Potential profit: $22.17
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $22.17
Potential profit: $20.95
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.15
Potential profit: $21.15
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $21.05
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.57
Potential profit: $18.57
User PnL: -$1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $29.6

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

No position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

No position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Pietro Mastropasqua win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

France leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 6% 22.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?

No 81% 6.17 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

No 3.9% 14.03 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?

No 26% 11.69 shares
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 21% 13.57 shares
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?

No 7.8% 16.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?

No 61% 8.2 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

No 10.4% 14.04 shares
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?

No 54% 8.07 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7?

No 31% 6.58 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in July?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

No 55% 7.27 shares