Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Polymarket Trader
ghost8099frostrunner
0x43b0e78df9e7e572e36bbd11ae7b95bca819a8a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.54
- Realized PnL
- $4.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $3.75
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 55% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 60% 3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 43% 5.58 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 43% 4.88 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 3.75 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes 61% 3.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 62% 4.19 shares