Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $23.63
- Potential profit
- $21.39
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Polymarket Trader
0x43b2...3234
0x43b21a7b6c9636d9fb95470299439469e8403234
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $10.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.99
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $14.77
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.36
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 33.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 33.95 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 70.87 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 31.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 106 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.7% 145.6 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 80% 73.19 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No 92.6% 63.52 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 67% 72.42 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No 76.4% 26.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 73% 28.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 75% 28.19 shares