Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.45
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
netass
0x43c9313c186b26a496be388896237314d0281e62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.18
- Realized PnL
- $36.48
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.46
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $17.81
- Potential payout
- $40.03
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $15.01
Yes position
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $19.97
- Potential profit
- $18.24
- Multiplier
- 11.57x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $7.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes 4% 10 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes 40% 10 shares
- Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes 3.9% 54.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 68.4% 10 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 79% 14.7 shares
- Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?Yes 65% 10 shares
- Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes 3.2% 15 shares
- Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes 3.2% 10 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 6.2% 100 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 68% 14.71 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?No 76% 10 shares