Polymarket Trader

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.99K
Realized PnL: $240.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $14.67K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $45.33K
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: -$15.33K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $45.32K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $14.68K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $15.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.78K
Potential profit: $39.78K
User PnL: -$44.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.59K
Potential profit: $39.59K
User PnL: -$1.97K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.02K
Potential profit: $38.02K
User PnL: -$508.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.44K
Potential profit: $37.44K
User PnL: -$328.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.43K
Potential profit: $37.43K
User PnL: -$5.14K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.43K
Potential profit: $37.43K
User PnL: -$7.51K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.33K
Potential profit: $29.33K
User PnL: -$7.61K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.81K
Potential profit: $28.81K
User PnL: -$183.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.79K
Potential profit: $28.79K
User PnL: -$44.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.64K
Potential profit: $28.64K
User PnL: -$8.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.64K
Potential profit: $28.64K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.59K
Potential profit: $28.59K
User PnL: -$13.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67K
Potential profit: $26.67K
User PnL: -$78.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.55K
Potential profit: $26.55K
User PnL: -$239.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.48K
Potential profit: $26.48K
User PnL: -$620.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.36K
Potential profit: $25.36K
User PnL: -$3.99K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25K
Potential profit: $25.25K
User PnL: -$149.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.02K
Potential profit: $23.02K
User PnL: -$54.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.87K
Potential profit: $22.87K
User PnL: -$823.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.87K
Potential profit: $22.87K
User PnL: -$24.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.83K
Potential profit: $22.83K
User PnL: -$221.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.53K
Potential profit: $22.53K
User PnL: -$5.13K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.73K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.84K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.94K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 18?

Yes 4.6% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 18?

Yes 90% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?

Yes 14.9% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?

Yes 0.9% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 52% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?

Yes 31% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 52% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?

Yes 0.9% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?

Yes 15% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 17?

Yes 3.1% 76.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Yes 12% 76.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Yes 1% 76.31 shares