OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $205.8
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $634.2
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$163.8
Polymarket Trader
TonyWall2179
0x43d7f7f66fa06bf37ef0335b7126063562b954a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.52K
- Realized PnL
- $5.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $838
- Potential profit
- $838
- User PnL
- -$452.52
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $719
- Potential profit
- $719
- User PnL
- -$323.55
Miami Marlins position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $343
- Potential payout
- $686
- Potential profit
- $343
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $6.86
Yes position
Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $647
- Potential profit
- $647
- User PnL
- -$187.63
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $81.76
- Potential payout
- $584
- Potential profit
- $502.24
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$11.68
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $572
- User PnL
- -$291.72
Fenerbahce position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $471
- Potential profit
- $471
- User PnL
- -$328.29
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $224.17
- Potential payout
- $419
- Potential profit
- $194.84
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $56.57
Afghanistan position
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $184.64
- Potential payout
- $373
- Potential profit
- $188.37
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$13.06
San Diego State Aztecs position
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369
- Potential profit
- $369
- User PnL
- -$129.15
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $360
- User PnL
- -$313.2
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321
- Potential profit
- $321
- User PnL
- -$163.71
Campbell Fighting Camels position
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $138.5
- Potential payout
- $277
- Potential profit
- $138.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$96.95
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $194.04
- Potential payout
- $257
- Potential profit
- $62.97
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $39.84
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233
- Potential profit
- $233
- User PnL
- -$102.52
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173
- Potential profit
- $173
- User PnL
- -$62.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Inflation" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $152
- User PnL
- -$21.28
Yes position
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $147
- User PnL
- -$19.11
No position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $144
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $95.04
Yes position
US national XRP reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143
- Potential profit
- $143
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $117
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $114
- User PnL
- -$1.37
No position
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$19.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $612.95
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons position
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570.75
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $459.51
Yes position
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $449.92
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.8
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.58
sleepers position
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.8
Yes position
Will Furia make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.2
Yes position
Will Nicole Kidman attend the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.64
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.8
No position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182
No position
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.96
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128.01
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.77
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- $114.58
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.1
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $99.25
Yes position
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.87
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.12
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.2
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.64
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.78
Yes position
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.56
No position
Will "Eden" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No 25% 10 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?No 69% 810 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?No 69% 10 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?No 69% 101 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?No 69% 921 shares
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 27% 949 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No 43% 997 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No 55% 997 shares
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins 49% 686 shares
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 27% 949 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 58% 34 shares
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?No 76% 152 shares