Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $35.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $43.3
Polymarket Trader
kapshu
0x43e443167e0dd6e92c6e9e0cc0e907377ca49de8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.47K
- Realized PnL
- $169.81
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $193.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Fenerbahce position
Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 95.8% 300 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 95.5% 58.26 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 37.3% 57.17 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 39% 57.17 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 2% 309.98 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 78% 50 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 86% 250 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 87.4% 144.41 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 93% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 82% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?No 90.8% 108 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 90% 100 shares