Polymarket Trader

ashash111

0x43e98f912cd6ddadaad88d3297e78c0648e688e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.65K
Realized PnL: $30.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $390.42
Potential payout: $780.84K
Potential profit: $780.45K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$390.42

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $181.28K
Potential profit: $180.1K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $50.76

Yes position

Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $453.45
Potential payout: $100.77K
Potential profit: $100.31K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$54.01

Yes position

Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $441.27
Potential payout: $98.06K
Potential profit: $97.62K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $49.03

Yes position

Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $414.9
Potential payout: $92.2K
Potential profit: $91.79K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$48.59

Yes position

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $505.5
Potential payout: $91.91K
Potential profit: $91.4K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $45.95

Yes position

Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $408.3
Potential payout: $90.73K
Potential profit: $90.33K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$45.37

Yes position

Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $345.41
Potential payout: $76.76K
Potential profit: $76.41K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$40.84

Yes position

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $240.12
Potential payout: $68.6K
Potential profit: $68.36K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $34.3

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $190.32
Potential payout: $42.29K
Potential profit: $42.1K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $21.15

Yes position

Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $79.33
Potential payout: $17.63K
Potential profit: $17.55K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $190.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.61K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $995.84

Yes position

Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $985.85

Yes position

Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $973.66

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $933.01

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $853.68

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $843.04

Yes position

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $831.02

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $696.49

Yes position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $695.85

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $674.53

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $664.71

Yes position

Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $657.82

Yes position

Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $634.15

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $591.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 6% 0.28 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 6% 220.89 shares
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 0.5% 6,698.3 shares
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 0.5% 63.64 shares
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 0.5% 66.99 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 2.7% 100 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 2.5% 11,834.9 shares
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 0.5% 124.44 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.3% 3,028.55 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.3% 245.43 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.3% 1,742.9 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

No 5.5% 177.71 shares