Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $32.47
- Potential profit
- $28.09
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.42
Polymarket Trader
0x43fc...23d1
0x43fc0ba0f9de94968158dd76566fd436732723d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $141.15
- Realized PnL
- -$96.82
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $30.47
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.68
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $19.36
- Potential payout
- $30.01
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $22.31
- Potential payout
- $23.86
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $22.28
- Potential payout
- $23.58
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $16.26
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $14.21
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $6.36
- Potential payout
- $12.22
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $7.24
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.1%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $6.14
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 3.55x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01
N
No position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.08
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.81
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 26.4% 6.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 14.21 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?No 71% 14.2 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes 62% 16.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 28% 10.75 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 10 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 57% 3.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 70% 2.03 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 2.01 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 48% 9.25 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 45% 7.24 shares