Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $987.98
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
Poker-of-weather
0x441ad4887046db7732623c72bb6edb72652be9c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $602.91
- Realized PnL
- $50.05
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $495
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $370.97
- Potential profit
- $366.15
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $296.4
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $7.62
- Potential payout
- $299.96
- Potential profit
- $292.35
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $284.52
- Potential profit
- $282.53
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $138.45
- Potential payout
- $245.08
- Potential profit
- $106.63
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$11.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $32.63
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $192.38
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $14.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $63.71
- Potential payout
- $215.98
- Potential profit
- $152.27
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.09
- Potential profit
- $156.09
- User PnL
- -$78.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.6%
- Current value
- $81.98
- Potential payout
- $156
- Potential profit
- $74.02
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $137
- Potential profit
- $118.51
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $63.91
- Potential payout
- $111.14
- Potential profit
- $47.23
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $106.15
- Potential profit
- $98.19
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$15.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $22.79
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $83.21
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $104.84
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $92.93
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $49.7
- Potential payout
- $101.43
- Potential profit
- $51.73
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $71.51
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.41
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $67
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.05
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
No position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.46
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.35
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 29?Yes 8% 24.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 30?Yes 22% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?Yes 1.2% 135.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 30?Yes 46% 51.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?Yes 37% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?Yes 50.6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 29?Yes 63% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?Yes 50.4% 111 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?Yes 50.3% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?Yes 58% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?Yes 51% 97.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 29?Yes 9% 5.5 shares