0x44243A44b19c5270b7d75dC2e76D5C2652aa4Cc6-1760315139645

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.71K
Potential profit: $90.71K
User PnL: -$297.98

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $409.75
Potential payout: $74.5K
Potential profit: $74.09K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$248.16

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $73.44
Potential payout: $48.96K
Potential profit: $48.89K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$923.57

Yes position

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $187.17
Potential payout: $34.03K
Potential profit: $33.84K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $86.17

No position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.35K
Potential profit: $30.35K
User PnL: -$116.43

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04K
Potential profit: $13.04K
User PnL: -$324.74

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.93K
Potential profit: $12.93K
User PnL: -$568.79

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $17.47
Potential payout: $11.65K
Potential profit: $11.63K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$85.24

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.44K
Potential profit: $10.44K
User PnL: -$799.99

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.38K
Potential payout: $10.38K
Potential profit: $8K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $915.22

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $971.7
Potential payout: $9.48K
Potential profit: $8.51K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$146.83

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.11K
Potential profit: $9.11K
User PnL: -$76.41

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47K
Potential profit: $8.47K
User PnL: -$178.28

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $465.11
Potential payout: $8.09K
Potential profit: $7.62K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$183.18

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.32K
Potential profit: $6.32K
User PnL: -$545.85

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $165.63
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.08K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $65.63

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $218.3
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $5.31K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$103.52

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $293.25
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $4.81K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$168.35

Yes position

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $4.12K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$74.37

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $194.79
Potential payout: $3.86K
Potential profit: $3.66K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $42.79

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $450.15
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $236.92

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $69.64
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$27.85

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $731
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$421

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $219.25
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $91.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12K

No position

Will Meta (META) close above $720 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $734.7

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.65

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.47

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.51

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.6

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $290

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $210.85

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181.5

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $139.13

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.2

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.38

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.46

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.7

Yes position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?