Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
mangoking05
0x442c533dd1bebea3f670185a6a6c091dee243db8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $357.23
- Realized PnL
- $9.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $977.5
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $790.8
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $594.9
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $485.81
- Potential profit
- $485.81
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $464.36
- Potential profit
- $464.36
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $398.2
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $377.91
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $358.02
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.9
- Potential profit
- $350.9
- User PnL
- -$94.74
Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.08
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.78
- Potential profit
- $309.78
- User PnL
- -$105.57
Yes position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.35
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.05
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.05
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.45
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.75
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.1%
- Current value
- $108.58
- Potential payout
- $264.51
- Potential profit
- $155.93
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $58.25
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $244.38
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.5
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $125.63
- Potential payout
- $191.8
- Potential profit
- $66.17
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $15.08
- Potential payout
- $189.74
- Potential profit
- $174.66
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $25.36
- Potential payout
- $179.99
- Potential profit
- $154.63
- Multiplier
- 7.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No 82% 60 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?No 4% 17 shares
- Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?No 65% 16 shares
- Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?No 39% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 86% 29 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 26% 5 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 2.3% 42.9 shares
- Will Trump say "Annihilated" or "Annihilating" during Speech to the Nation?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?Yes 17% 6 shares
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 350 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.5% 400 shares