Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $473.87
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $696.18
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $23.4
Polymarket Trader
0x4439...ca0d
0x44399f9c446ad7f6e1ad430143b420611373ca0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $473.87
- Realized PnL
- $14.05
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.8
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $9.79
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$9.47
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$15.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.5% 1,170.05 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.8% 2,247.96 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.8% 2,247.96 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.2% 75 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.3% 75 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.6% 1,073.53 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 95.8% 638.19 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 81.2% 942.86 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 81.1% 1,611.74 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 15% 0.83 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 15.7% 1,085.4 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.2% 716.68 shares