Polymarket Trader

Thor.777

0x44477de6e7db675291c8b5bcce6b938d178ce040

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $16.51K
Win rate: 47.6%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $662.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.34K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $91.18
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.79K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$8.82

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $102.63
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.16K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.16K
User PnL: -$166.69

Yes position

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$690.94

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $141.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.36K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $321.69
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $121.69

No position

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$543.29

Yes position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $91.8
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$337.76

Yes position

Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$15.37

No position

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$159.37

Yes position

Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.46
Potential profit: $800.46
User PnL: -$23.78

Yes position

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $732.6
Potential profit: $732.6
User PnL: -$125.75

Yes position

Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718.54
Potential profit: $718.54
User PnL: -$77.25

Yes position

Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $604.2
Potential profit: $604.2
User PnL: -$226.12

Yes position

Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590.23
Potential profit: $590.23
User PnL: -$37.7

Yes position

Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512.12
Potential profit: $512.12
User PnL: -$75.95

Yes position

Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457.45
Potential profit: $457.45
User PnL: -$176

Yes position

Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.07
Potential profit: $338.07
User PnL: -$44.89

Yes position

Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.86
Potential profit: $214.86
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.25
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$3.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.58K

Yes position

Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $815.77

No position

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.17

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.07

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.95

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.6

No position

Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.59

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.52

Yes position

Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$114.25

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$170.24

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$210.7

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$469.85

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$572.23

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$845.94

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.3K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Norway 99.9% 831.94 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5

Over 29% 344.83 shares
Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Norway 26% 831.94 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 100 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 5,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 2,500 shares
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 8.2% 1,223.94 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 2,409.64 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 5,263.16 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 5,882.35 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 20,000 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 14.1% 3,000 shares