Polymarket Trader

0x44512f89B96258E5FF92aB5B237F4eD9c89968D8-1729759816855

0x44512f89b96258e5ff92ab5b237f4ed9c89968d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.17
Realized PnL: $67.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $28.99
Potential payout: $30.5
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.7% 5.1 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.8% 5.2 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 99.5% 7 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?

No 99.7% 8.3 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?

No 99.8% 8 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 97.5% 6 shares
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.6% 6.3 shares
Trump out as President by May 31?

No 99.5% 10.25 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 92.7% 15.2 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

No 98.8% 13.6 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 94% 5.9 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?

No 99.7% 9.03 shares