Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $182.37
- Potential payout
- $450.3
- Potential profit
- $267.93
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Polymarket Trader
0x4452...dbbd
0x4452f50ede9c70e4489e7329ff50d3a87e06dbbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $435.91
- Realized PnL
- -$154.11
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Current value
- $109.05
- Potential payout
- $424.31
- Potential profit
- $315.26
- Multiplier
- 3.89x
- User PnL
- $59.83
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $92.52
- Potential payout
- $105.56
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $51.97
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $13.03
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $6.92
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$161.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 21% 767.48 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.4% 105.56 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.9% 721.67 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.1% 661.81 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 15% 1,436.06 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 42.1% 726.81 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 15% 1,436.06 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 11.6% 715.21 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 86.5% 274.15 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 44% 159.1 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 43% 576.92 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 43% 1,500 shares