No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $92.83
- Potential payout
- $113.14
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$13.54
Polymarket Trader
0x4454...202e
0x4454c6e3854f8329e2bf6d33458922622fdc202e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $107.46
- Realized PnL
- $24.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $14.63
- Potential payout
- $66.51
- Potential profit
- $51.88
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$40.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 94% 113.14 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.1% 107.93 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 83.3% 66.51 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 98.1% 56.17 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.9% 56.18 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 96% 30.86 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 86% 30 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 69% 60.87 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No 96.7% 44.3 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.3% 54 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.4% 53.94 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No 79% 44.3 shares