Polymarket Trader

0x4458C4Cc080D280b31189f504F83289a33BAf4e4-1778034278982

0x4458c4cc080d280b31189f504f83289a33baf4e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.47
Realized PnL: -$8.23
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $143.55
Potential profit: $141.76
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $111.54
Potential profit: $100.95
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $65.53
Potential profit: $55.37
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$11.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $50.73
Potential profit: $43.45
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $32.35
Potential profit: $25.56
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $25.81
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 24.7%
Current value: $7.39
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $22.59
Multiplier: 4.06x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $22.83
Potential profit: $21.23
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $19.43
Potential profit: $18.17
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $18.77
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $18.41
Potential profit: $15.28
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $16.19
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $11.23
Potential profit: $8.48
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $10.28
Potential profit: $9.51
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $7.21
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $5.96
Potential profit: $4.62
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 71.9%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $4.09
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $3.54
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 12.5% 10.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 10?

Yes 6.1% 22.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 13% 10.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 12.1% 11.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 10?

Yes 4.9% 27.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 12% 11.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 12% 11.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 10?

Yes 4.2% 32.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 12% 11.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Yes 10.5% 12.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 10?

Yes 2.2% 61.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?

No 76% 1.84 shares