No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200.4
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
FrankGrimes
0x4458e3ee8f87f9d3ce43c83891f2a2cfa9121ab8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $458.44
- Realized PnL
- $74.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $99.42
- Potential payout
- $101.71
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $50.1
- Potential payout
- $51.78
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $30.28
- Potential payout
- $31.84
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $28.07
- Potential payout
- $29.13
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $25.6
- Potential payout
- $26.71
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $26.22
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will BSW be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
2025 June hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95.4% 26.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 200.4 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes 94.2% 31.84 shares
- Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No 99.7% 52.16 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.6% 25.1 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?No 99.8% 25.05 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.8% 50.1 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.7% 25.08 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.4% 20.12 shares
- Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No 99.3% 45.32 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 99.2% 25.77 shares