bird2222

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.85
Potential profit: $18.85
User PnL: -$16.02

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $11.72
Potential payout: $14.47
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $12.08
Potential payout: $14.47
Potential profit: $2.39
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $14.47
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $14.04
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $13.6
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $11.76
Potential payout: $13.14
Potential profit: $1.38
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $12.76
Potential payout: $12.97
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.7
Potential profit: $12.7
User PnL: -$9.03

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $11.66
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $10.46
Potential payout: $10.84
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $10.15
User PnL: -$9.03

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $9.4
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $8.78
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $8.04
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.76
Potential payout: $7.77
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $6.18
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Marta Kostyuk position

Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyuk

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 3?