Polymarket Trader

Basyl

0x44806efcc4ed91ee624b63050e8383a649cc1ff8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $520.58
Realized PnL: $339.2
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
User PnL: -$60.99

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $4.73K
User PnL: -$178.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $111.97
Potential payout: $622.03
Potential profit: $510.06
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $97.22
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $458.33
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $101.06
Potential payout: $518.27
Potential profit: $417.21
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $102
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $298
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $108.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $8.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $126.58
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.37
Potential profit: $25.37
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$17.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$21.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 844.48 shares
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?

Yes 97.8% 1,737.48 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 94% 1,063.83 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 86% 2,325.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 99% 1,010.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Up 96% 1,041.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Up 92.2% 1,084.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Down 79% 126.58 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 10.8% 726.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 16.1% 622.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 19.3% 518.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 555.56 shares