Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.35K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $268.65K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Polymarket Trader
Flipadelphia
0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $535.02K
- Realized PnL
- $948.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $224.67K
- Potential payout
- $225.01K
- Potential profit
- $337.52
- User PnL
- $4.17K
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $65.91K
- Potential payout
- $78K
- Potential profit
- $12.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $8K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59.6K
- Potential payout
- $59.63K
- Potential profit
- $29.82
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $55.28K
- Potential payout
- $55.31K
- Potential profit
- $27.65
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $49.96K
- Potential payout
- $50.74K
- Potential profit
- $786.53
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.6K
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $19.64K
- Potential payout
- $23.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $14.87K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- User PnL
- $227.52
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.4K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.22K
Austria position
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $994.51
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.51K
- Multiplier
- 6.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.6K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $41.93
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-3.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$949.86
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $53.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $549.72
Over position
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $48.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $112.44
Yes position
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $358.2
- Potential payout
- $366.82
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $288.06
- Potential profit
- $280.86
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Nick Albares be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $25.21
- Potential profit
- $25.15
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.1K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.21K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.45K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.52K
Yes position
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.27K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.91K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.86K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.05K
Yes position
Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.3K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72K
Joshua position
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.86K
No position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.32K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.03K
No position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.11K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.45K
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.96K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.28K
Simion position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.14K
Packers position
Packers vs. Lions
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.72K
Seahawks position
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.1K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.52K
No position
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria 44% 10,000 shares
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Norway 19% 2,826.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 2.01 shares
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway 35% 3,810.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.4% 9,630.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.2% 1,012.24 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes 98.3% 843.23 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.6% 8,874.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99% 69,113 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.3% 11,304.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99% 2,334.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.1% 1,700.04 shares