No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.99K
Polymarket Trader
wbxxx
@0xWeber
0x449c7483aade15b5c4772fab7becc60a1c20879e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.33K
- Realized PnL
- $80.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$592.04
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $214.86
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- $136.86
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $830.39
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $248.04
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $376.67
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.4
- Potential profit
- $354.4
- User PnL
- -$25
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.56
- Potential profit
- $309.56
- User PnL
- -$183.91
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $48.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $251.85
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Current value
- $54.33
- Potential payout
- $211
- Potential profit
- $156.67
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- -$12.77
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $129.71
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $33.32
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $21.82
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $981.2
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.54
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 91.7% 21.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 90% 33.33 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 70 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 70 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 447.76 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 447.76 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 82.2% 2,803.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 15,799.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.9% 5,062.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.7% 1,687.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.3% 2,250 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 99.6% 7,072.44 shares