Polymarket Trader

mbet

0x44b39050013913ac3b442fa3df29e580721ade01

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.27K
Realized PnL: $4.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $461.46
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $211.46

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $505.32
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $558.51
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $952.38
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $266.33
Potential payout: $612.24
Potential profit: $345.92
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$33.67

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $435.22
Potential profit: $435.22
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.75
Potential profit: $333.75
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.76
Potential profit: $234.76
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

GPT ads by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.61
Potential profit: $223.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.16
Potential profit: $135.16
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.66
Potential profit: $128.66
User PnL: -$12.91

No position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $41.85
Potential payout: $72.78
Potential profit: $30.93
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$8.15

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $50.85
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.48

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.8

Yes position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.74

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $209.3

No position

$BTC dips below $50k before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.6

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

$4000 position

Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.46

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Ukraine" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.55

No position

Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.82

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Brazil unban X before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.97

No position

Will Circle IPO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.8

No position

Trump in jail before election day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.89

No position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

No position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will Elon tweet between 60-79 times?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No 68.7% 72.78 shares
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 47% 1,063.83 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 79% 581.39 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 21% 952.38 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 24% 104.17 shares
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Yes 13% 769.23 shares
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

No 30% 333.75 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 24% 104.17 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 11.9% 1,008.61 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 49% 612.24 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 42.6% 234.76 shares
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares