Polymarket Trader

Little-Cheese

0x44b76d9f7ef16f1b945b81c597c8acf77a30a5d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $511.31
Realized PnL: $3.78K
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $28.88
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.82K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$21.17

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $279
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$532.5

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.47
Potential profit: $909.47
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $582.36
Potential profit: $582.36
User PnL: -$314

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$29.62

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.01
Potential profit: $373.01
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $203.44
Potential payout: $260.65
Potential profit: $57.21
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $160.69

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$54.46

Yes position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896.88

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $822.04

Yes position

Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.14

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.09

No position

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.02

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.71

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.32

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $22

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.63

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.49

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.79

Yes position

Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Hormuz" 3+ times during press conference?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.38

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.24

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$281

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.9% 210.44 shares
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?

Yes 99% 100 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 66.1% 99.99 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

No 2.3% 2,131.04 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 3.9% 975.83 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 4% 106.26 shares
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Hormuz" 3+ times during press conference?

Yes 7.8% 90 shares
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Hormuz" 3+ times during press conference?

Yes 46% 6 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 8.8% 682.1 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

No 54.5% 100 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

No 22% 263.16 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 80.4% 373.01 shares