Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.49K
- Potential profit
- $527.49K
- User PnL
- -$44.48K
Polymarket Trader
aenews2
@aenews
0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $611.49K
- Realized PnL
- $16.44M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $134.61K
- Potential payout
- $136.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.97K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $104.77K
- Potential payout
- $119.73K
- Potential profit
- $14.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19.19K
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $74.5K
- Potential payout
- $89.23K
- Potential profit
- $14.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $896.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $85.61K
- Potential payout
- $85.74K
- Potential profit
- $128.61
- User PnL
- $7.98K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $67.48K
- Potential payout
- $67.72K
- Potential profit
- $237.02
- User PnL
- $3.2K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $29.25K
- Potential payout
- $34.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$560.92
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $30.76K
- Potential payout
- $30.88K
- Potential profit
- $123.54
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $7.09K
- Potential payout
- $28.95K
- Potential profit
- $21.86K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $235.46
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $20.17K
- Potential payout
- $24.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4K
- Potential payout
- $22.86K
- Potential profit
- $18.86K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.94K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.83K
- Potential profit
- $22.83K
- User PnL
- -$4.12K
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $19.46K
- Potential profit
- $17.9K
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.02K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $16.51K
- Potential payout
- $16.6K
- Potential profit
- $91.31
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $549.34
- Potential payout
- $12.21K
- Potential profit
- $11.66K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$449.46
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63K
- Potential profit
- $11.63K
- User PnL
- -$3.46K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49K
- Potential profit
- $11.49K
- User PnL
- -$2.76K
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $11.29K
- Potential profit
- $10.11K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $10.48K
- Potential payout
- $10.56K
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- User PnL
- $10.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $35.16
Yes position
Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.76K
- Potential payout
- $8.9K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $835.33
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.69K
- Potential profit
- $8.69K
- User PnL
- -$3.57K
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $8.22K
- Potential payout
- $8.32K
- Potential profit
- $95.68
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $323.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09M
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.65K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $305.1K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $288.26K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $248.5K
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.19K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.45K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.37K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.36K
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.17K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.46K
Yes position
Was Milei hacked?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.71K
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.42K
Yes position
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155K
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.69K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.16K
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.44K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.08K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.98K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128.36K
Yes position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.47K
Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.12K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.53K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 61,440.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 1,116.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 14,335.88 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43.7% 5,915.71 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 69.8% 2,447.38 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 84.5% 2,048.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 49,399.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.5% 15,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 93% 1,115 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 79.9% 1,291.18 shares
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes 36% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.8% 110,888.68 shares