Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.64K
- Potential profit
- $15.64K
- User PnL
- -$52.26
Polymarket Trader
gman4441
0x44c298af043b2a3b707037b4939d2c01996a7a21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.11
- Realized PnL
- $15.19K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.09K
- Potential profit
- $6.09K
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$955.99
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$163
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$411
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$107
Yes position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $296.11
- Potential payout
- $911.11
- Potential profit
- $615
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$47.89
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $841.07
- Potential profit
- $841.07
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $817.44
- Potential profit
- $817.44
- User PnL
- -$39.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $740.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662.65
- Potential profit
- $662.65
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $635.44
- Potential profit
- $635.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $545.11
- Potential profit
- $545.11
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.28
- Potential profit
- $396.28
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.29
- Potential profit
- $314.29
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 24-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.12
- Potential profit
- $306.12
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.73
- Potential profit
- $272.73
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.4
- Potential profit
- $185.4
- User PnL
- -$60
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.67
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.38
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.52
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson speak at the RNC?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.17
Yes position
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.4
Yes position
Will Ben Carson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.25
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.41
Yes position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.88
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $42.53
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will Michael Flynn win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Fed rate cut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.48
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 37.8% 911.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes 0.3% 15,636.81 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes 19.2% 2,137.59 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.5% 662.94 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes 47% 526.31 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 32% 562.5 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes 32.4% 185.4 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes 8.3% 662.65 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 4.8% 296.61 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 4.8% 520.83 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 33% 469.7 shares