Polymarket Trader

Chandaria

0x44cf1adbef03497ae2f469bd9cd5da3de6e02211

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.7K
Realized PnL: -$4.29K
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11M
Potential profit: $1.11M
User PnL: -$4.98K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.57K
Potential profit: $46.57K
User PnL: -$373.83

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $38K
User PnL: -$266

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $20.06K
Potential profit: $18.15K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.36K
Potential profit: $19.36K
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $78.14
Potential payout: $17.37K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$648.97

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $17.11K
Potential profit: $16.01K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$400.16

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $531.58
Potential payout: $10.22K
Potential profit: $9.69K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$428.38

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.96K
Potential profit: $8.96K
User PnL: -$174.82

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.71K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.78K
User PnL: -$301.63

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.73K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$18.32

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$309.52

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$534.3

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $11.79
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$148.53

Yes position

Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$237.77

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $739.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.36

Yes position

Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.31

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.86

Yes position

Kash Patel out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$159.99

Yes position

Kash Patel out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$189.47

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$216.8

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$238.14

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$271.24

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$758.45

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$766.3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.37K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Yes 4.5% 355.72 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?

Yes 1.9% 253.12 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

No 5.9% 841.38 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 11.2% 371.81 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Yes 1.7% 4,705.88 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 12.9% 386.27 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 10.2% 236.03 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 2,000 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 1.2% 6,675.35 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?

Yes 1.2% 1,041.66 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 9.3% 480.05 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?

Yes 0.7% 1,889.22 shares