Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Polymarket Trader
Simon241088
0x44eceee3fb7c88d5baa38856cd1f558051cf0348
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.74
- Realized PnL
- $184.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Over position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.05
- Potential profit
- $217.05
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.99
- Potential profit
- $182.99
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Under position
Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $31.19
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Under position
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.74
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.37
- Potential profit
- $21.37
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.96
- Potential profit
- $20.96
- User PnL
- -$5.45
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $20.67
- Potential profit
- $17.98
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.58
- Potential profit
- $20.58
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $20.53
- Potential profit
- $16.68
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.38
- Potential profit
- $20.38
- User PnL
- -$14.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Over position
Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Under position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
BakS eSports position
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Over 0.1% 1,030.89 shares
- Will Trump say "Mosquito" in July?Yes 5% 15.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6PM ETUp 41% 10.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6PM ETUp 26% 10.54 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?No 8.7% 30 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 5.2% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5PM ETDown 34% 11.77 shares
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Under 0.1% 20 shares
- Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?Yes 3.1% 20 shares
- Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?Yes 3% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3PM ETDown 73% 20.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETDown 99% 10.17 shares