Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $8.8K
- User PnL
- -$290.7
Polymarket Trader
0x44Ef50f4A67c47044Efa972cb7dBE9878932FF3D-1719992236159
0x44ef50f4a67c47044efa972cb7dbe9878932ff3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.28K
- Realized PnL
- $26.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- User PnL
- $482.5
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$647
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $612.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$142.5
No position
>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.37
- Potential profit
- $600.37
- User PnL
- -$352.85
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $584.33
- Potential profit
- $584.33
- User PnL
- -$74.89
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $486.25
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$111.25
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$109.99
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $469.35
- Potential profit
- $469.35
- User PnL
- -$220.35
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468.17
- Potential profit
- $468.17
- User PnL
- -$83.46
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332
- Potential profit
- $332
- User PnL
- -$164.76
Aurora position
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.99
- Potential profit
- $304.99
- User PnL
- -$252.61
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $40
Cardinals position
Falcons vs. Cardinals
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Top Esports position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $995.51
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.18
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.85
Yes position
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.56
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.03
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.46
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.48
No position
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.69
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.72
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.81
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $317.53
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.02
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.44
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 3.7% 3,055.63 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.4% 1,533.33 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 2.7% 4,962.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?Yes 98.7% 174 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?No 98.7% 340 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?Yes 98.7% 708.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?No 41% 14.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?No 40.8% 22.38 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 30% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 93.9% 2,000 shares
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsXtreme Gaming 42% 100 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No 98.7% 1,155.23 shares