Polymarket Trader

kaifu

0x44f2f0df07acf63a1771923f5475997ec9511415

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $490.48
Realized PnL: $3.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $316.72
Potential payout: $14.8K
Potential profit: $14.48K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $89.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $42
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $17.4
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$39.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $18.15
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$40.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$22.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $22.2
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $97.8
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.35
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.55
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$7.55

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.62

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.89

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.63

Up position

XRP Up or Down on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.06

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.37

Down position

XRP Up or Down on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.46

No position

Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.72

Up position

XRP Up or Down on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.98

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.71

Senators position

Senators vs. Golden Knights

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.39

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.43

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.79

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.86

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $135.14

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.84

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.78

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.8

Indiana position

Ohio State vs. Indiana

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.37

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Yes 6% 200 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Yes 49% 10 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 400 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 400 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 300 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Yes 21% 20 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Yes 21% 100 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 4,000 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

No 79% 10 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 54% 10 shares