Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $3.32K
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $100.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $91.27
Polymarket Trader
darthgeek1338
0x44fccfc4f7653fc79c386d1bcb2181d730a4ac29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.01K
- Realized PnL
- $36.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $212.98
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $653.58
- Potential payout
- $679.4
- Potential profit
- $25.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $55.96
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $276
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $324
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$46.71
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $459
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $141
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$19.31
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $352
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $198
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $220
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $280
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$44.65
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $390.18
- Potential payout
- $390.57
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $32.62
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $141
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $59
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $10.39
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $54
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $146
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $48.65
- Potential payout
- $126.36
- Potential profit
- $77.71
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$13.67
N
No position
Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $112.73
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $68.5
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $94.04
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$11.05
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $16.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $63.6
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$49.4
Y
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $8.38
- Potential payout
- $62.09
- Potential profit
- $53.71
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$44.59
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $48.93
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $48.35
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $48.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $49.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $17.58
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 93% 479.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 98.8% 240.78 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 92% 340 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 96% 96.09 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 99.7% 5.05 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No 65% 550 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No 79.7% 600 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 98% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 50.7% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 44% 26.36 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 77% 100 shares