Polymarket Trader

tapwater

0x45185c19924be749ae26100fcd8aedddf52c25b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.09K
Realized PnL: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $90K
Potential profit: $88.24K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $195.21

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $339.1
Potential payout: $48.44K
Potential profit: $48.1K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $26.64

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$51.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$420

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$162.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$422.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$130

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$345

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$434.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$112

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$104

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$162

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.01
Potential profit: $225.01
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$148

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$62.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$66.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$38.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.67

Prates position

Jingliang vs. Prates

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.72

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.53

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 67% 5,970.15 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 64% 2,368.88 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 64% 1,800 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 30,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 82% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Down 58% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 65% 75.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Down 54% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Down 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 62% 80.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 7.9% 582.26 shares