Polymarket Trader

0x451F67E17909dF5D96982A913E1c014f9Fd2CE83-1782483760394

0x451f67e17909df5d96982a913e1c014f9fd2ce83

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.22
Realized PnL: -$0.43
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311.11
Potential profit: $311.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.83
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $88.77
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.51
Potential profit: $63.51
User PnL: -$2

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.84
Potential profit: $34.84
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.21
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $8.73
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $8.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.63
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $7.3
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $4.32
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $6.71
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.37
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $4.61
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Up 32% 3.13 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 27.6% 3.62 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 48% 4.17 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 3.45 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.7% 12.99 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 9.71 shares