Polymarket Trader

yniekac

0x4526e524dd069e19167e3fdb7675e54c03276b73

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.7
Realized PnL: $26.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.97
Potential profit: $369.97
User PnL: -$11.11

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $22.09
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.51
Potential profit: $16.51
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $10.3
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $7.45
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.79

No position

Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.15
Potential profit: $6.15
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.33

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46
Potential profit: $2.46
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.21
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $1.05
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during his May 13 interview?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "White farmer" during events with South African President on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during May 16 Baier interview?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Monday?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 2.9% 172 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 5.24 shares
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 2.9% 172.33 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 66% 7.69 shares
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 35.75 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

Yes 95.4% 1.05 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 95.4% 5.24 shares
US strike on Mexico by March 31?

No 94% 5.37 shares
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Yes 96.4% 1.04 shares
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

No 88% 2.27 shares