Yes position
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $322.45
- Potential payout
- $693.44
- Potential profit
- $370.99
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $66.43
Polymarket Trader
0x452f632362B5BaE06F4843d35544112F9198a25b-1767905834518
0x452f632362b5bae06f4843d35544112f9198a25b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $322.45
- Realized PnL
- $63.56
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.65
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.94
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$121.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 38% 3.16 shares
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 36.9% 690.28 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 73.3% 358.07 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 74.6% 86.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 45% 309.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 84.2% 309.46 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 99.9% 107.61 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 66% 152.94 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No 98.3% 102.66 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 54% 55.56 shares