Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $79.33
- Potential payout
- $933.33
- Potential profit
- $854
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $23.33
Polymarket Trader
colilla
0x453560bfd757fe53ba780aa919655494bd964494
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.33
- Realized PnL
- $113.51
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337
- Potential profit
- $337
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.85
- Potential profit
- $199.85
- User PnL
- -$77.44
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.67
- Potential profit
- $160.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.42
- Potential profit
- $110.42
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.77
- Potential profit
- $53.77
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.19
- Potential profit
- $6.19
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.38
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.14
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- $15.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.54
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 6% 933.33 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 99.8% 56.18 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 48.7% 56.18 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?No 38.7% 199.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 12% 41.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 17% 29.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 27% 18.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 24% 20.83 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 15.3% 11.56 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes 14% 140 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 17.3% 11.56 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?23.4% 25.01 shares