Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $119.57K
- Potential profit
- $116.41K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Polymarket Trader
5038813185
0x453ae5e896ea243f332ed97c1c77bf2888ce81d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.41K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.87K
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $36.79K
- Potential profit
- $35.57K
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $24.15
- Potential payout
- $16.1K
- Potential profit
- $16.08K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$215.93
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $55.3
- Potential payout
- $15.8K
- Potential profit
- $15.74K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $75.13
- Potential payout
- $12.52K
- Potential profit
- $12.45K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $379.05
- Potential payout
- $6.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.83K
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$221.65
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $75.58
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$537.77
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $855.18
- Potential profit
- $855.18
- User PnL
- -$42.76
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $380.29
- Potential payout
- $633.81
- Potential profit
- $253.52
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $10.23
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $15.05
- Potential payout
- $338.26
- Potential profit
- $323.21
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$12.54
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $291.9
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$34.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $235.22
- Potential profit
- $233.57
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$43.05
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.42
- Potential profit
- $102.42
- User PnL
- -$7.73
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.78
- Potential profit
- $40.78
- User PnL
- -$4.51
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $35.05
- Potential profit
- $22.78
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.97
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$42.83
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$69.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$73.99
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$201.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$203.14
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$626.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 59% 70 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 59% 35 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 6.2% 626.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 8.3% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 8.1% 984.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 6.3% 1,835 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 59% 22 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 58% 64.8 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.3% 759 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.2% 1,140.21 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 60% 210 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 36% 16.99 shares