Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Cakeuser
0x453d83d194668ae4e00c1facf277c214d31b0eb8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.25
- Realized PnL
- -$4.45
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $498.64
- Potential profit
- $498.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Patience" during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $24.65
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$5.61
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes 67% 5 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes 67% 5 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on July 2?Yes 0.1% 1,066.35 shares
- Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?Yes 76% 42 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 2?Yes 0.1% 35.37 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 2?Yes 1% 33.69 shares
- Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 10% 59.79 shares
- Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 9.9% 59.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 99% 6.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 73% 6.85 shares