No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $377.5
- Potential profit
- $377.5
- User PnL
- -$45
Polymarket Trader
0xc2C9e598718570862CCFa3bDF2448fA170cc96C2-1777646943511
0x453dbf302f958e8e58c2bb0d0def28ba972ba9ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.78
- Realized PnL
- $70.37
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $20.86
- Potential payout
- $100.54
- Potential profit
- $79.68
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$10
MIBR position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.39
- Potential profit
- $48.39
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $34.33
- Potential payout
- $44.88
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $20.2
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.3%
- Current value
- $14.89
- Potential payout
- $19.53
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $13.92
- Potential payout
- $16.09
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.77
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.64
N
No position
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?No 87% 16.09 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 76.8% 19.53 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 24.7% 20.2 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 19.23 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 68% 14.71 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 11.29 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 25.64 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 61% 44.15 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 73% 27.4 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 69% 43.48 shares
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No 34% 83.33 shares