0x4546E8E247e32F384868e0F07A3719B2562E1651-1772724032429

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.14
Potential profit: $113.14
User PnL: -$5.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C or higher on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.93
Potential profit: $106.93
User PnL: -$9.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$6.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.77
Potential profit: $66.77
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C or higher on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.77
Potential profit: $66.77
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.11
Potential profit: $62.11
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.93
Potential profit: $60.93
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.93
Potential profit: $60.93
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.98
Potential profit: $39.98
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.65
Potential profit: $38.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $25.93
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25.65
Potential profit: $25.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25.65
Potential profit: $25.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?