No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.69K
- Potential profit
- $12.69K
- User PnL
- -$25.37
Polymarket Trader
MamdaniCapital
0x454edce61773df6fef2ce02569e35c9a93c336cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.83K
- Realized PnL
- $13.63K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $8.83K
- Potential payout
- $12.35K
- Potential profit
- $3.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$509
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.97K
- Potential profit
- $10.97K
- User PnL
- -$2.19K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.87K
- Potential profit
- $6.87K
- User PnL
- -$3.31K
Yes position
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$100
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $794.95
- Potential profit
- $794.95
- User PnL
- -$392
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.84
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.7
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $404
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.59
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $159.05
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.04
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$12.07
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.71
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.15
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$68.18
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.27
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$108.63
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$120.41
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$175.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 33.7% 3,351.28 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 69.8% 1,638.68 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 61.1% 1,169.33 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 57.6% 469.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 62% 3,517 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 58% 177.59 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No 16.2% 5,510.22 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No 20.9% 4,794.02 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No 56.1% 342.39 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 30% 330 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 55% 178.18 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 68% 286.76 shares